The MMD trend filter: the same signals, only with the trend

In lessons 01–04 the signals that hurt most were BUY signals caught in a strong downtrend: the stretch never came back, because it was NOT an overshoot — it was a trend. This lesson turns on the first directional filter: the MMD clouds.

MMD is three clouds of moving averages (each = an SMA+EMA pair of the same period): Fast (5), Slow (12) and Trend (48). The arrangement of the clouds describes the market regime:

• Fast above Slow above Trend → clean BULL alignment — a pass for BUY only;
• the mirrored stack → clean BEAR alignment — a pass for SELL only;
• tangled clouds (interleaving) → UNDECIDED regime — the filter blocks everything and waits for the market to declare itself.

The key rule of Okurra’s whole filter family: a filter opens nothing — it can only block a button’s signal. OKUR still generates the signals; MMD only rejects the ones going against the trend.

What is enabled and why

Feature	Value in the set	Role
B1_UseMMD=true	filter active, periods 5/12/48	a directional gate on every signal
B1_MMD_TimeFrame=M5	clouds computed on M5, not M1	the first step into the dimension of the timeframe: M1 aims, M5 sets the local regime — M1 clouds would ripple with the very noise they filter
B1_MMD_TwoCloud=false	full stack of 3 clouds	the strict version: agreement of Fast, Slow and Trend at once
B1_MMD_ClassicMode=false	strict mode (factory)	the decision comes from the last CLOSED candle; a tangle = pause (Classic Mode plays “by the last direction” through the tangle — left for later)
B1_ShowMMD=true	clouds drawn on the chart	you see EXACTLY what the filter sees
B1_MaxPositionsPerButton=5	raised from 3	the filter watches direction, so the campaign can run longer
OKUR threshold (B1_Threshold)	returns from ±250 to a more sensitive ±150	in lessons 01–04 the deep threshold was the only defense against noise; from this lesson the filter watches direction, so the trigger can react earlier
Band + limits from lesson 04	unchanged	quantitative discipline stays

How it makes price behavior visible

This is the most visually striking lesson of the course. Compare the oscillator window with the chart:

1. In the oscillator subwindow all the arrows remain — this is the raw OKUR signal, without filters.
2. On the chart the arrows thin out — only those that passed the MMD gate remain. The difference between the subwindow and the chart is literally a view of the filter’s decision.
3. Hover over historical breakdowns: BUY signals in a fall that in lesson 01 cost a series of losses now disappear from the chart — the clouds were in a BEAR alignment or in a tangle.

Price moves in regimes: trends and moments of indecision. The MMD clouds translate that fact into three simple states, and the filter into one rule: play the stretch only when it returns TO the trend, not against it.

What to watch on the chart

• Arrows present in the subwindow and absent on the chart — each of them is a blocked entry; judge after the fact how many the filter cut rightly.
• Periods of cloud tangle (a ranging market) — the filter stays silent, campaigns cease.
• The moment the clouds “untangle” after a consolidation — the first passed signal often catches the start of a new swing.

One step further

Lesson 06: trend is one coordinate. The other is LEVELS — support and resistance zones the price reacts to. The SR Box filter.